win-probability

Texas Hold'em poker algorithm (hand evaluation, lookup table, 1v1 win probability) with Joker wild-card support, in Java, Go and C++.

Was your League of Legends ranked game winnable? Free fairness verdict for any match: FAIR, NOT FAIR or FAVORED, from pre-game data only. Lane-by-lane scores, autofill, duos, smurfs and a win-probability bar.

Predicts UFC fight win probabilities, method of victory and round from historical UFCStats data, using leakage-safe chronological ML, weekly auto-refresh, and a Streamlit app.

Live cricket scores and win probability dashboard. Built using Django and CricketData API, featuring dynamic polling, key rotation, and a custom WASP algorithm.

Interactive NFL fourth-down decision audit using nfl4th and nflverse data. Compare coach decisions with modeled win-probability recommendations, identify conservative and aggressive misses, and explore coach decision fingerprints.

Possession-level live win probability model for football using LSTM and GRU on StatsBomb La Liga data, with Poisson goal conversion and proper probabilistic evaluation.

Live win probability, blunder detection, and hidden-team inference for competitive Pokémon Showdown battles — LightGBM on 19k+ ladder replays.

Live per-second round win probability for Counter-Strike 2: spatial control, bomb geometry, calibration, and an out-of-time test. Code, results, and preprint.

Mechabellum replay and live-match analytics toolkit for data collection, model training, and win probability prediction.

XGBoost win probability model for MLB games, with WPA, Leverage Index, and a benchmark against classical sabermetrics. Live dashboard with pitch-by-pitch game replay.

Ball-by-ball analysis of 2,500+ men’s ODIs from Cricsheet: a win-probability model for chases (ROC AUC 0.90 on held-out recent matches) and a statistical test of whether winning the toss matters.

An AI for competitive Pokémon, trained on real ladder battles. It calculates damage, reads what the opponent is likely hiding, and estimates who is winning mid-battle.

Calibrated live win probabilities for men's T20 run chases from a simple logistic model — Brier 0.1114, 55.4% skill vs base rate, every probability bucket within 5pp of observed win rate. Research code for MIT Sloan SSAC27

NFL in-game win probability model on 225k plays from six seasons of nflfastR. XGBoost, log loss 0.485 / AUC 0.841 on the held-out 2023 season. Python + DuckDB.

An AI-powered IPL match win probability prediction system using XGBoost and live match-state features. The project provides separate predictions for first and second innings and exposes the trained models through a FastAPI backend for real-time web predictions.

Predicting NFL pass-block outcomes from player tracking data: XGBoost vs. LSTM, with an interactive win-probability dashboard.

Steel trading sales, marketing and CRM analytics on a Dynamics 365 export: sales funnel, win-probability model and campaign ROI.

Machine learning dashboard for NBA win probability, covering pre-game predictions, live replay, model evaluation, and automated Finals refreshes with Google Cloud.

NBA predictions dashboard: win probabilities, projected scores, spreads & totals, model vs market edge, title & playoff odds, power rankings. NBA, WNBA, NCAA. Node.js, zero deps.

NBA win probability, momentum, and turning-point analytics engine.