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  1. cost-aware-churn-prediction cost-aware-churn-prediction Public

    Churn prediction optimized for business value: cost matrix, threshold optimization, and sensitivity analysis.

    Jupyter Notebook

  2. f1-driver-vs-car f1-driver-vs-car Public

    How much of a Formula 1 result is the driver, and how much is the car? A Bayesian hierarchical decomposition of qualifying pace, 2018-2025.

    Jupyter Notebook

  3. football-player-scouting football-player-scouting Public

    We're losing X. Who replaces him? Ranked, priced replacement shortlists for Big-5 clubs, built on twelve seasons of data and validated by replaying ten years of real transfers against the clubs' ac…

    Jupyter Notebook

  4. polymarket_trading polymarket_trading Public

    Can public weather forecasts beat the crowd on Polymarket's daily temperature markets? A tested research pipeline: forecast and weather-station data, a calibrated forecast model, and a trading back…

    Jupyter Notebook