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Broad-to-narrow comparative research on protracted refugee/displacement crises, building toward a Theory of Change.

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Fraternity

Broad, comparative situation research across protracted refugee/displacement crises — building the evidence base to find high-leverage intervention opportunities before narrowing down to any one of them.

Why this exists

Work on dzaleka-cost-model produced a broad-to-narrow situation analysis for Dzaleka Refugee Camp, Malawi (docs/cases/dzaleka.md here) — a sector-level Theory of Change evidence base covering legal/policy, funding, disaster risk, and protection pathways, sourced and dated throughout.

Fraternity generalizes that method and applies it across multiple crises/camps. The goal right now is breadth, not depth: gather comparable situation data across several sites so that patterns, structural levers, and funding/protection gaps can be compared side by side. Once a comparison across cases surfaces a genuine opportunity — a lever that is high-leverage, tractable, and neglected relative to the others — we narrow down and go deep on that one.

Current phase (from 7 Oct 2026): solutions. Following the professor's feedback, the situation research stays as context and the work now asks what we can do that actually changes something in the camp, starting with Dzaleka. See docs/SOLUTIONS.md.

Structure

  • CONCEPT.md — the reusable research methodology (the four-pathway framework, sourcing discipline, output shape).
  • docs/cases/ — one file per crisis/camp, each following the same structure so they stay comparable.
  • docs/RESEARCH_LOG.md — running log of research sessions (sources, decisions, dead ends, next steps).
  • docs/comparison.md (once ≥3 cases exist) — cross-case comparison and candidate opportunity list.
  • docs/SOLUTIONS.md — candidate open-source tools per cluster, and the recommended first line of technology development.

Sourcing discipline

Every figure keeps its original source, date, and reporting period. Numbers that diverge across sources are not silently reconciled — the divergence itself is often informative (reporting-period lag, methodology differences, contested figures). Always check the date attached to a figure before using it comparatively.

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Broad-to-narrow comparative research on protracted refugee/displacement crises, building toward a Theory of Change.

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